Audience Network stays off and the machine is compounding. Cost per paid signup is down to about $57 blended, from $85 at Thursday’s read, with the lead-to-signup rate up to 6.0%. Two new design cards went live Thursday and both beat the cost-per-lead bar. As of Sunday night every new lead auto-enrolls in the how-to email sequence, with a built-in holdout so the email lift will be provable, not assumed. Google still reports zero conversions; the cause is found (the account was importing a renamed event) and the fix is one step from live. Reddit starts the day the developers ship bot filtering.
Velocity this week: Meta Aug 24–30 ran $3.58 CPL on 656 leads versus $3.46 on 669 prior. Cohort signup rate 6.0% (73 of the last 1,212 leads) versus 4.5% at the Aug 27 read. Cost per signup by the cohort method: C_dark $46–55, PreHealth $54–59, blended ~$57. New ads S2 $3.10 and S1 $3.27 CPL, both under the $3.34 bar; their signup verdict lands ~Sep 4. CRM stamped 87 signup dates Aug 24–30 versus 24 prior; part of that jump is likely the Aug 29 event fixes plus dev tests, so the cohort series is the trusted number. The $20K September budget starts Sep 1 against the written allocation plan.
1,279 visitors → 701 started a match (55%) → 216 ran a full search → 211 viewed results → 25 created accounts (2%).
The cliff sits between seeing results and creating an account. Two levers aim at it: the how-to nurture (live on every new lead since Aug 31, with a holdout group so lift is measurable by mid-September) and the proposed optional “Email me these results” field, which would give Google and Reddit visitors the same follow-up path Meta leads already have. Ad-based retargeting is confirmed unavailable in this category on both Google and Meta, so email is the only second touch.
Five levers, in order of leverage: nurture converts leads already paid for at email cost; budget shifts to the ads with the cheapest signups, not the cheapest leads; the Google condition-keyword unlock turns on once conversions report; the lead-sync gap closed (it was mostly repeat submissions, not lost leads); and a two-per-week creative cadence defends against the fatigue now visible on both winners.